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Research Article

Global Mortality Estimates for the 2009 Influenza Pandemic from the GLaMOR Project: A Modeling Study

  • Lone Simonsen mail,

    lone@gwu.edu

    Affiliations: Department of Global Health, George Washington University School of Public Health and Health Services, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America, Sage Analytica, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America

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  • Peter Spreeuwenberg,

    Affiliation: Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, Netherlands

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  • Roger Lustig,

    Affiliation: Sage Analytica, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America

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  • Robert J. Taylor,

    Affiliation: Sage Analytica, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America

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  • Douglas M. Fleming,

    Affiliation: Royal College of General Practitioners, London, United Kingdom

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  • Madelon Kroneman,

    Affiliation: Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, Netherlands

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  • Maria D. Van Kerkhove,

    Affiliations: Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom, Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

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  • Anthony W. Mounts,

    Affiliation: Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

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  • W. John Paget,

    Affiliation: Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, Netherlands

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  • the GLaMOR Collaborating Teams

    Membership of the GLaMOR Collaborating Teams is provided in the Acknowledgments.

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  • Published: November 26, 2013
  • DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001558

About the Authors

Lone Simonsen
Department of Global Health, George Washington University School of Public Health and Health Services, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
Lone Simonsen, Roger Lustig, Robert J. Taylor
Sage Analytica, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America
Peter Spreeuwenberg, Madelon Kroneman, W. John Paget
Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, Netherlands
Douglas M. Fleming
Royal College of General Practitioners, London, United Kingdom
Maria D. Van Kerkhove
Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom
Maria D. Van Kerkhove, Anthony W. Mounts
Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

Corresponding Author

Email: lone@gwu.edu

Competing Interests

LS has provided consultancy services to GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and served on expert advisory boards for GSK, Roche, Pfizer, Merck, and Novartis. LS and RJT have an ownership interest in Sage Analytica, a consultancy in epidemiology and bioinformatics. DMF has provided consultancy services for GSK, Novartis, and MedImmune relating to influenza epidemiology and vaccine effectiveness and has been supported to attend international influenza meetings. WJP has served on an influenza advisory board for GSK.

Author Contributions

Conceived and designed the experiments: LS WJP DMF. Performed the experiments: LS PS RL. Analyzed the data: LS PS RL RJT WJP DMF. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: AWM MDVK. Wrote the first draft of the manuscript: LS RJT WJP MK PS. Contributed to the writing of the manuscript: LS RJT WJP MK DMF PS RL AWM MDVK. ICMJE criteria for authorship read and met: LS RJT WJP MK DMF PS RL AWM MDVK. Agree with manuscript results and conclusions: LS RJT WJP MK DMF PS RL AWM MDVK.